Nice 100M Finish Time Predictor
Nice 100M race stats pre-loaded (165 km, 8,900 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.
Full Nice Côte d'Azur by UTMB - 100M course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile
1. Your race
2. How should we estimate you?
Same as gain. Edit if different.
Hours, or h:mm
3. Your predicted finish
254.0 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)304.6 km-effort
Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.
Nice 100M finish times by UTMB Index
Predicted finish on the Nice 100M course (165.0 km, 8,900 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 50h00 cutoff.
| UTMB Index | Predicted finish | Average pace | Margin to cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 850 | 20h04 | 7:18 /km | +29h56 |
| 800 | 21h56 | 7:58 /km | +28h04 |
| 750 | 23h58 | 8:43 /km | +26h02 |
| 700competitive | 26h12 | 9:32 /km | +23h48 |
| 650 | 28h39 | 10:25 /km | +21h21 |
| 600 | 31h18 | 11:23 /km | +18h42 |
| 550 | 34h13 | 12:27 /km | +15h47 |
| 500mid-pack | 37h25 | 13:36 /km | +12h35 |
| 450 | 40h53 | 14:52 /km | +9h07 |
| 400back of the pack | 44h42 | 16:15 /km | +5h18 |
| 350 | 48h52 | 17:46 /km | +1h08 |
| 300 | 53h24 | 19:25 /km | 3h24 past the cutoff |
The 50h00 cutoff sits at about Index 337. The typical winning time, 19h00, sits at about Index 881. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.
From a result you already have
What the predictor gives on Nice 100M for a few common reference results.
| Road marathon | 3h00 → 33h46 | 3h30 → 39h24 | 4h00 → 45h01 | 4h30 → 50h39 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 km trail, 2,000 m D+ | 5h30 → 27h35 | 6h30 → 32h37 | 7h30 → 37h37 | 8h30 → 42h36 |
Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.
For arrival times at each checkpoint, use the Nice 100M aid station planner.
Nice 100M course in numbers
- Climbing per km
- 54 m
- ITRA km-effort
- 254 (100M)
- Highest point
- 2,698 m
- Biggest climb
- +1,600 m over 10.9 km at 14.5% (through Cabane des Chasseurs)
- Longest descent
- -1,373 m over 14.2 km at 9.5% (through Utelle)
- Track climbing above 3%
- 38%
- Winning time / cutoff
- 19h00 / 50h00 (2.6x the winner's time)
Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Nice 100M course page.
Predict your Nice 100M finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 165 km and roughly 8,900 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 50h.
About Nice Côte d'Azur by UTMB - 100M
Nice Côte d'Azur by UTMB - 100M covers 165 km with around 8,900 m of elevation gain, starting in Auron, France. The overall cutoff is 50 hours.
Crew access is allowed at Isola Village (38 km), Saint-Sauveur-sur-Tinée (63.8 km), Venanson (83.6 km), Utelle (109.9 km), Levens (121.9 km), Tourrette-Levens (140.4 km), Drap (147.5 km) and Plateau Saint-Michel (156.6 km). Drop bags are available at Saint-Sauveur-sur-Tinée and Levens.
Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at nice.utmb.world before your race.
How the prediction works
Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Nice 100M by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.
Build a training plan targeted at your Nice 100M goal time
TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.
Start free