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Race Time Predictor

How fast will you run Transgrancanaria Marathon?

Transgrancanaria Marathon race stats pre-loaded (47 km, 1,784 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.

47km1,784m D+Winner: ~3h27Cutoff: 11h

47 kmdistance1,784 mD+2,800 mD-79km-effort
GentleSteadySteepVery steep
  1. Your race (done)
  2. About you
  3. Your finish

1Your race

Transgrancanaria MarathonOfficial course loaded · 47 km · 1,784 m D+Different race?

Have the GPX? Measure the exact course in the GPX Explorer

  • The course

    47 km, but it costs 79 km-effort. The 2,800 m of descent is where legs go.

2How should we estimate you?

Start with

Pick whichever you have. After your first estimate we ask for the other - two inputs give a firmer read.

Same as gain. Edit if different.

Hours, or h:mm

From my Strava history (opens in a new tab)Your last 90 days of real training. Opens the TrailMath app.Read-only access to your activities. Nothing is posted to Strava, and no training plan is created until you ask for one.Powered by Strava
  • TrailMath

    Got a UTMB index? Hand it over, it's the straightest read I get. No index? A long, hilly past race works too.

3 · Your predicted finish

65 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)79 km-effort

Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.

Transgrancanaria Marathon finish times by UTMB Index

Predicted finish on the Transgrancanaria Marathon course (47.0 km, 1,784 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 11h00 cutoff.

Transgrancanaria Marathon: predicted finish time by UTMB Index
UTMB IndexPredicted finishAverage paceMargin to cutoff
8503h374:37 /km7:26 /mi+7h23
8003h585:03 /km8:08 /mi+7h02
7504h205:31 /km8:53 /mi+6h40
700competitive4h446:02 /km9:43 /mi+6h16
6505h106:36 /km10:37 /mi+5h50
6005h397:13 /km11:37 /mi+5h21
5506h117:53 /km12:42 /mi+4h49
500mid-pack6h458:37 /km13:52 /mi+4h15
4507h239:25 /km15:10 /mi+3h37
400back of the pack8h0410:18 /km16:35 /mi+2h56
3508h4911:16 /km18:07 /mi+2h11
3009h3812:18 /km19:48 /mi+1h22

The 11h00 cutoff sits at about Index 226. The typical winning time, 3h27, sits at about Index 877. At the 2026 edition, the median of the 1,478 finishers took 7h04, about Index 475. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.

From a result you already have

What the predictor gives on Transgrancanaria Marathon for a few common reference results.

Transgrancanaria Marathon: predicted finish from reference results
Road marathon3h00 → 6h273h30 → 7h324h00 → 8h364h30 → 9h41
50 km trail, 2,000 m D+5h30 → 4h596h30 → 5h537h30 → 6h478h30 → 7h41

Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.

To prepare each checkpoint, use the Transgrancanaria Marathon aid station planner.

Transgrancanaria Marathon course in numbers

Climbing per kmClimbing per mile
38 m200 ft
ITRA km-effort
65 (50K)
Highest point
1,719 m5,640 ft
Biggest climb
+419 m over 2.6 km at 15.3%+1,375 ft over 1.6 mi at 15.3%
Longest descent
-472 m over 11.0 km at 4.0% (down to Maspalomas (Finish))-1,549 ft over 6.8 mi at 4.0% (down to Maspalomas (Finish))
Track climbing above 3%
27%
Winning time / cutoff
3h27 / 11h00 (3.2x the winner's time)

Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Transgrancanaria Marathon course page.

Predict your Transgrancanaria Marathon finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 47 km and roughly 1,784 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 11h.

About Transgrancanaria Marathon

Transgrancanaria Marathon covers 47 km with around 1,784 m of elevation gain, starting in Tejeda, Spain. The overall cutoff is 11 hours.

Crew access is allowed at El Garañón (11.7 km) and Tunte (21.2 km).

Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at transgrancanaria.net before your race.

How the prediction works

Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Transgrancanaria Marathon by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.

Build a training plan targeted at your Transgrancanaria Marathon goal time

TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.

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