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Race Time Predictor

How fast will you run Transgrancanaria Advanced?

Transgrancanaria Advanced race stats pre-loaded (81.7 km, 4,314 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.

81.7km4,314m D+Winner: ~7h26Cutoff: 21h

81.7 kmdistance4,314 mD+4,873 mD-149km-effort
GentleSteadySteepVery steep
  1. Your race (done)
  2. About you
  3. Your finish

1Your race

Transgrancanaria AdvancedOfficial course loaded · 81.7 km · 4,314 m D+Different race?

Have the GPX? Measure the exact course in the GPX Explorer

  • The course

    81.7 km, but it costs 149 km-effort. The 4,873 m of descent is where legs go.

2How should we estimate you?

Start with

Pick whichever you have. After your first estimate we ask for the other - two inputs give a firmer read.

Same as gain. Edit if different.

Hours, or h:mm

From my Strava history (opens in a new tab)Your last 90 days of real training. Opens the TrailMath app.Read-only access to your activities. Nothing is posted to Strava, and no training plan is created until you ask for one.Powered by Strava
  • TrailMath

    Got a UTMB index? Hand it over, it's the straightest read I get. No index? A long, hilly past race works too.

3 · Your predicted finish

125 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)149 km-effort

Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.

Transgrancanaria Advanced finish times by UTMB Index

Predicted finish on the Transgrancanaria Advanced course (81.7 km, 4,314 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 21h00 cutoff.

Transgrancanaria Advanced: predicted finish time by UTMB Index
UTMB IndexPredicted finishAverage paceMargin to cutoff
8508h236:09 /km9:55 /mi+12h37
8009h106:44 /km10:50 /mi+11h50
75010h017:21 /km11:50 /mi+10h59
700competitive10h578:03 /km12:57 /mi+10h03
65011h588:47 /km14:09 /mi+9h02
60013h059:37 /km15:28 /mi+7h55
55014h1810:30 /km16:54 /mi+6h42
500mid-pack15h3811:29 /km18:29 /mi+5h22
45017h0512:33 /km20:12 /mi+3h55
400back of the pack18h4113:43 /km22:05 /mi+2h19
35020h2515:00 /km24:08 /mi+0h35
30022h1916:24 /km26:23 /mi1h19 past the cutoff

The 21h00 cutoff sits at about Index 334. The typical winning time, 7h26, sits at about Index 918. At the 2026 edition, the median of the 598 finishers took 14h41, about Index 535. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.

From a result you already have

What the predictor gives on Transgrancanaria Advanced for a few common reference results.

Transgrancanaria Advanced: predicted finish from reference results
Road marathon3h00 → 14h053h30 → 16h264h00 → 18h474h30 → 21h08
50 km trail, 2,000 m D+5h30 → 11h326h30 → 13h387h30 → 15h438h30 → 17h48

Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.

To prepare each checkpoint, use the Transgrancanaria Advanced aid station planner.

Transgrancanaria Advanced course in numbers

Climbing per kmClimbing per mile
53 m279 ft
ITRA km-effort
125 (100K)
Highest point
1,743 m5,719 ft
Biggest climb
+710 m over 6.3 km at 9.7% (through Artenara)+2,329 ft over 3.9 mi at 9.7% (through Artenara)
Steepest climb
+345 m over 1.7 km at 20.1%+1,132 ft over 1.1 mi at 20.1%
Longest descent
-472 m over 11.0 km at 4.0% (down to Maspalomas (Finish))-1,549 ft over 6.8 mi at 4.0% (down to Maspalomas (Finish))
Track climbing above 3%
35%
Winning time / cutoff
7h26 / 21h00 (2.8x the winner's time)

Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Transgrancanaria Advanced course page.

Predict your Transgrancanaria Advanced finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 81.7 km and roughly 4,314 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 21h.

About Transgrancanaria Advanced

Transgrancanaria Advanced covers 81.7 km with around 4,314 m of elevation gain, starting in Teror, Spain. The overall cutoff is 21 hours.

Crew access is allowed at Artenara (22.4 km), Tejeda (34.8 km), El Garañón (46.4 km) and Tunte (55.3 km). Drop bags are available at El Garañón.

Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at transgrancanaria.net before your race.

How the prediction works

Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Transgrancanaria Advanced by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.

Build a training plan targeted at your Transgrancanaria Advanced goal time

TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.

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