Madeira Island Ultra Trail - MIUT Marathon

MIUT Marathon Finish Time Predictor

MIUT Marathon race stats pre-loaded (39.7 km, 1,450 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.

39.7km1,450m D+Winner: ~3h26Cutoff: 11h

Full Madeira Island Ultra Trail - MIUT Marathon course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile

1. Your race

MIUT Marathon

39.7 km · 1450 m D+ · 2000 m D-

Different race?

Have the GPX? Measure the exact course in the GPX Explorer

2. How should we estimate you?

From my Strava historyYour last 90 days of real training. Opens the TrailMath app.Read-only access to your activities. Nothing is posted to Strava, and no training plan is created until you ask for one.

Distance (km)

Elevation gain (m)

Elevation loss (m)

Same as gain. Edit if different.

Finish time

Hours, or h:mm

3. Your predicted finish

54.2 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)64.2 km-effort

Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.

MIUT Marathon finish times by UTMB Index

Predicted finish on the MIUT Marathon course (39.7 km, 1,450 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 11h00 cutoff.

MIUT Marathon: predicted finish time by UTMB Index
UTMB Index	Predicted finish	Average pace	Margin to cutoff
850	2h54	4:23 /km	+8h06
800	3h10	4:47 /km	+7h50
750	3h28	5:14 /km	+7h32
700competitive	3h47	5:43 /km	+7h13
650	4h08	6:15 /km	+6h52
600	4h31	6:50 /km	+6h29
550	4h56	7:28 /km	+6h04
500mid-pack	5h24	8:10 /km	+5h36
450	5h54	8:55 /km	+5h06
400back of the pack	6h27	9:45 /km	+4h33
350	7h03	10:40 /km	+3h57
300	7h43	11:39 /km	+3h17

The 11h00 cutoff sits at about Index 100. The typical winning time, 3h26, sits at about Index 754. At the 2026 edition, the median of the 668 finishers took 6h20, about Index 410. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.

From a result you already have

What the predictor gives on MIUT Marathon for a few common reference results.

MIUT Marathon: predicted finish from reference results
Road marathon	3h00 → 5h01	3h30 → 5h51	4h00 → 6h41	4h30 → 7h31
50 km trail, 2,000 m D+	5h30 → 3h59	6h30 → 4h42	7h30 → 5h26	8h30 → 6h09

Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.

MIUT Marathon course in numbers

Climbing per km: 37 m
ITRA km-effort: 54 (50K)
Highest point: 1,495 m
Biggest climb: +645 m over 4.0 km at 15.6% (from Start - Monte)
Steepest climb: +117 m over 0.7 km at 16.7%
Longest descent: -848 m over 11.0 km at 7.6% (through Portela)
Track climbing above 3%: 24%
Winning time / cutoff: 3h26 / 11h00 (3.2x the winner's time)

Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the MIUT Marathon course page.

Predict your MIUT Marathon finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 39.7 km and roughly 1,450 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 11h.

About Madeira Island Ultra Trail - MIUT Marathon

Madeira Island Ultra Trail - MIUT Marathon covers 39.7 km with around 1,450 m of elevation gain, starting in Monte, Funchal, Madeira, Portugal. The overall cutoff is 11 hours.

Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at miutmadeira.com before your race.

How the prediction works

Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto MIUT Marathon by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.

Build a training plan targeted at your MIUT Marathon goal time

TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.

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