Grindstone 100M Finish Time Predictor
Grindstone 100M race stats pre-loaded (167.4 km, 6,400 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.
Full Grindstone by UTMB - 100 Mile course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile
1. Your race
2. How should we estimate you?
Same as gain. Edit if different.
Hours, or h:mm
3. Your predicted finish
231.4 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)263.4 km-effort
Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.
Grindstone 100M finish times by UTMB Index
Predicted finish on the Grindstone 100M course (167.4 km, 6,400 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 36h00 cutoff.
| UTMB Index | Predicted finish | Average pace | Margin to cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 850 | 17h13 | 6:10 /km | +18h47 |
| 800 | 18h49 | 6:45 /km | +17h11 |
| 750 | 20h34 | 7:22 /km | +15h26 |
| 700competitive | 22h29 | 8:03 /km | +13h31 |
| 650 | 24h34 | 8:48 /km | +11h26 |
| 600 | 26h52 | 9:38 /km | +9h08 |
| 550 | 29h22 | 10:31 /km | +6h38 |
| 500mid-pack | 32h06 | 11:30 /km | +3h54 |
| 450 | 35h05 | 12:34 /km | +0h55 |
| 400back of the pack | 38h21 | 13:45 /km | 2h21 past the cutoff |
| 350 | 41h55 | 15:01 /km | 5h55 past the cutoff |
| 300 | 45h49 | 16:25 /km | 9h49 past the cutoff |
The 36h00 cutoff sits at about Index 436. The typical winning time, 21h48, sits at about Index 717. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.
From a result you already have
What the predictor gives on Grindstone 100M for a few common reference results.
| Road marathon | 3h00 → 28h15 | 3h30 → 32h58 | 4h00 → 37h41 | 4h30 → 42h23 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 km trail, 2,000 m D+ | 5h30 → 23h40 | 6h30 → 27h59 | 7h30 → 32h16 | 8h30 → 36h33 |
Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.
For arrival times at each checkpoint, use the Grindstone 100M aid station planner.
Grindstone 100M course in numbers
- Climbing per km
- 38 m
- ITRA km-effort
- 231 (100M)
- Highest point
- 1,323 m
- Biggest climb
- +758 m over 13.6 km at 4.1% (through Lookout Mountain)
- Steepest climb
- +538 m over 5.5 km at 9.5%
- Longest descent
- -434 m over 11.6 km at 2.8% (down to Natural Chimneys (Finish))
- Track climbing above 3%
- 36%
- Winning time / cutoff
- 21h48 / 36h00 (1.7x the winner's time)
Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Grindstone 100M course page.
Predict your Grindstone 100M finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 167.4 km and roughly 6,400 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 36h.
About Grindstone by UTMB - 100 Mile
Grindstone by UTMB - 100 Mile covers 167.4 km (about 104 miles) with around 6,400 m of elevation gain, starting in Natural Chimneys Park, Virginia, USA. The overall cutoff is 36 hours.
Crew access is allowed at North River Gap 1 (52.1 km), Dowells Draft 1 (73.4 km), Dowells Draft 2 (115.7 km), Camp Todd (132.1 km) and North River Gap 2 (147.7 km). Drop bags are available at North River Gap 1, Dowells Draft 1, Dowells Draft 2, Camp Todd and North River Gap 2.
Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at grindstone.utmb.world before your race.
How the prediction works
Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Grindstone 100M by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.
Build a training plan targeted at your Grindstone 100M goal time
TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.
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