Făgăraș Rocks! - #DaraUltraSkyrace

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K Finish Time Predictor

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K race stats pre-loaded (70.6 km, 4,850 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.

70.6km4,850m D+Winner: ~12h34Cutoff: 18h

Full Făgăraș Rocks! - #DaraUltraSkyrace course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile

1. Your race

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K

70.6 km · 4850 m D+ · 4850 m D-

Different race?

Have the GPX? Measure the exact course in the GPX Explorer

2. How should we estimate you?

From my Strava historyYour last 90 days of real training. Opens the TrailMath app.Read-only access to your activities. Nothing is posted to Strava, and no training plan is created until you ask for one.

Distance (km)

Elevation gain (m)

Elevation loss (m)

Same as gain. Edit if different.

Finish time

Hours, or h:mm

3. Your predicted finish

119.1 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)143.3 km-effort

Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K finish times by UTMB Index

Predicted finish on the #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K course (70.6 km, 4,850 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 18h00 cutoff.

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K: predicted finish time by UTMB Index
UTMB Index	Predicted finish	Average pace	Margin to cutoff
850	8h10	6:57 /km	+9h50
800	8h56	7:35 /km	+9h04
750	9h46	8:18 /km	+8h14
700competitive	10h40	9:04 /km	+7h20
650	11h40	9:55 /km	+6h20
600	12h45	10:50 /km	+5h15
550	13h56	11:51 /km	+4h04
500mid-pack	15h14	12:57 /km	+2h46
450	16h39	14:09 /km	+1h21
400back of the pack	18h12	15:28 /km	0h12 past the cutoff
350	19h54	16:55 /km	1h54 past the cutoff
300	21h45	18:29 /km	3h45 past the cutoff

The 18h00 cutoff sits at about Index 406. The typical winning time, 12h34, sits at about Index 608. At the 2024 edition, the median of the 7 finishers took 14h23, about Index 532. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.

From a result you already have

What the predictor gives on #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K for a few common reference results.

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K: predicted finish from reference results
Road marathon	3h00 → 13h25	3h30 → 15h39	4h00 → 17h53	4h30 → 20h07
50 km trail, 2,000 m D+	5h30 → 11h14	6h30 → 13h17	7h30 → 15h19	8h30 → 17h21

Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.

For arrival times at each checkpoint, use the #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K aid station planner.

#DaraUltraSkyrace 70K course in numbers

Climbing per km: 69 m
ITRA km-effort: 119 (100K)
Highest point: 2,484 m
Biggest climb: +1,664 m over 13.6 km at 11.7% (through Trecere Lupșa)
Steepest climb: +946 m over 4.3 km at 22.0% (up to Piscul dintre Belii)
Longest descent: -1,362 m over 9.5 km at 13.8% (Scoarța to Berivoi base camp (Finish))
Track climbing above 3%: 43%
Winning time / cutoff: 12h34 / 18h00 (1.4x the winner's time)

Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K course page.

Predict your #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 70.6 km and roughly 4,850 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 18h.

About Făgăraș Rocks! - #DaraUltraSkyrace

Făgăraș Rocks! - #DaraUltraSkyrace covers 70.6 km with around 4,850 m of elevation gain, starting in Berivoi, Romania. The overall cutoff is 18 hours.

Crew access is allowed at Poiana Gropile (50 km) and Scoarța (61 km). Drop bags are available at Poiana Gropile.

Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at fagarasrocks.ro before your race.

How the prediction works

Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.

Build a training plan targeted at your #DaraUltraSkyrace 70K goal time

TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.

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