Race Time Predictor
How fast will you run Canyons 50K?
Canyons 50K race stats pre-loaded (50 km, 1,553 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.
50km1,553m D+Winner: ~3h22Cutoff: 10h
Full The Canyons Endurance Runs by UTMB - 50K course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile
- ✓Your race (done)
- 2About you
- 3Your finish
1Your race
- The course
50 km, but it costs 73 km-effort. The 1,553 m of descent is where legs go.
2How should we estimate you?
Start with
Pick whichever you have. After your first estimate we ask for the other - two inputs give a firmer read.
Same as gain. Edit if different.
Hours, or h:mm
- TrailMath
Got a UTMB index? Hand it over, it's the straightest read I get. No index? A long, hilly past race works too.
3 · Your predicted finish
66 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)73 km-effort
Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.
Canyons 50K finish times by UTMB Index
Predicted finish on the Canyons 50K course (50.0 km, 1,553 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 10h00 cutoff.
| UTMB Index | Predicted finish | Average pace | Margin to cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 850 | 3h36 | 4:19 /km6:56 /mi | +6h24 |
| 800 | 3h56 | 4:43 /km7:35 /mi | +6h04 |
| 750 | 4h18 | 5:09 /km8:18 /mi | +5h42 |
| 700competitive | 4h42 | 5:38 /km9:04 /mi | +5h18 |
| 650 | 5h08 | 6:09 /km9:54 /mi | +4h52 |
| 600 | 5h36 | 6:44 /km10:50 /mi | +4h24 |
| 550 | 6h08 | 7:21 /km11:50 /mi | +3h52 |
| 500mid-pack | 6h42 | 8:02 /km12:56 /mi | +3h18 |
| 450 | 7h19 | 8:47 /km14:09 /mi | +2h41 |
| 400back of the pack | 8h00 | 9:36 /km15:28 /mi | +2h00 |
| 350 | 8h45 | 10:30 /km16:54 /mi | +1h15 |
| 300 | 9h34 | 11:29 /km18:29 /mi | +0h26 |
The 10h00 cutoff sits at about Index 275. The typical winning time, 3h22, sits at about Index 887. At the 2026 edition, the median of the 609 finishers took 6h57, about Index 479. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.
From a result you already have
What the predictor gives on Canyons 50K for a few common reference results.
| Road marathon | 3h00 → 5h54 | 3h30 → 6h53 | 4h00 → 7h52 | 4h30 → 8h51 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 km trail, 2,000 m D+ | 5h30 → 4h57 | 6h30 → 5h51 | 7h30 → 6h44 | 8h30 → 7h38 |
Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.
To prepare each checkpoint, use the Canyons 50K aid station planner.
Canyons 50K course in numbers
- Climbing per kmClimbing per mile
- 31 m164 ft
- ITRA km-effort
- 66 (50K)
- Highest point
- 586 m1,923 ft
- Biggest climb
- +323 m over 5.9 km at 5.1% (through Clementine)+1,060 ft over 3.7 mi at 5.1% (through Clementine)
- Steepest climb
- +206 m over 1.7 km at 12.1% (from Mammoth Bar)+676 ft over 1.1 mi at 12.1% (from Mammoth Bar)
- Longest descent
- -237 m over 4.1 km at 5.5% (down to Confluence - 2)-778 ft over 2.5 mi at 5.5% (down to Confluence - 2)
- Track climbing above 3%
- 35%
- Winning time / cutoff
- 3h22 / 10h00 (3x the winner's time)
Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Canyons 50K course page.
Predict your Canyons 50K finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 50 km and roughly 1,553 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 10h.
About The Canyons Endurance Runs by UTMB - 50K
The Canyons Endurance Runs by UTMB - 50K covers 50 km (about 31 miles) with around 1,553 m of elevation gain, starting in Downtown Auburn, California, USA. The overall cutoff is 10 hours.
Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at canyons.utmb.world before your race.
How the prediction works
Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Canyons 50K by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.
Build a training plan targeted at your Canyons 50K goal time
TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.
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