Race Time Predictor
How fast will you run Ventoux L'Origine 48K?
Ventoux L'Origine 48K race stats pre-loaded (48 km, 2,400 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.
48km2,400m D+Winner: ~4h26Cutoff: 9h30
Full Trail du Ventoux - L'Origine 48K course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile
- ✓Your race (done)
- 2About you
- 3Your finish
1Your race
- The course
48 km, but it costs 84 km-effort. The 2,400 m of descent is where legs go.
2How should we estimate you?
Start with
Pick whichever you have. After your first estimate we ask for the other - two inputs give a firmer read.
Same as gain. Edit if different.
Hours, or h:mm
- TrailMath
Got a UTMB index? Hand it over, it's the straightest read I get. No index? A long, hilly past race works too.
3 · Your predicted finish
72 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)84 km-effort
Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.
Ventoux L'Origine 48K finish times by UTMB Index
Predicted finish on the Ventoux L'Origine 48K course (48.0 km, 2,400 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 9h30 cutoff.
| UTMB Index | Predicted finish | Average pace | Margin to cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 850 | 4h15 | 5:18 /km8:33 /mi | +5h15 |
| 800 | 4h39 | 5:48 /km9:20 /mi | +4h51 |
| 750 | 5h04 | 6:21 /km10:12 /mi | +4h26 |
| 700competitive | 5h33 | 6:56 /km11:09 /mi | +3h57 |
| 650 | 6h04 | 7:35 /km12:12 /mi | +3h26 |
| 600 | 6h38 | 8:17 /km13:20 /mi | +2h52 |
| 550 | 7h15 | 9:03 /km14:34 /mi | +2h15 |
| 500mid-pack | 7h55 | 9:54 /km15:56 /mi | +1h35 |
| 450 | 8h39 | 10:49 /km17:25 /mi | +0h51 |
| 400back of the pack | 9h28 | 11:50 /km19:02 /mi | +0h02 |
| 350 | 10h21 | 12:56 /km20:48 /mi | 0h51 past the cutoff |
| 300 | 11h18 | 14:08 /km22:44 /mi | 1h48 past the cutoff |
The 9h30 cutoff sits at about Index 398. The typical winning time, 4h26, sits at about Index 826. At the 2026 edition, the median of the 833 finishers took 7h45, about Index 512. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.
From a result you already have
What the predictor gives on Ventoux L'Origine 48K for a few common reference results.
| Road marathon | 3h00 → 6h58 | 3h30 → 8h08 | 4h00 → 9h18 | 4h30 → 10h27 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 km trail, 2,000 m D+ | 5h30 → 5h50 | 6h30 → 6h54 | 7h30 → 7h58 | 8h30 → 9h01 |
Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.
Ventoux L'Origine 48K course in numbers
- Climbing per kmClimbing per mile
- 50 m264 ft
- ITRA km-effort
- 72 (50K)
- Highest point
- 1,897 m6,224 ft
- Biggest climb
- +1,165 m over 10.2 km at 11.4% (through Près de Michel)+3,822 ft over 6.3 mi at 11.4% (through Près de Michel)
- Longest descent
- -502 m over 5.5 km at 8.7% (through Chalet Reynard)-1,647 ft over 3.4 mi at 8.7% (through Chalet Reynard)
- Track climbing above 3%
- 42%
- Winning time / cutoff
- 4h26 / 9h30 (2.1x the winner's time)
Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Ventoux L'Origine 48K course page.
Predict your Ventoux L'Origine 48K finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 48 km and roughly 2,400 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 9h30.
About Trail du Ventoux - L'Origine 48K
Trail du Ventoux - L'Origine 48K covers 48 km with around 2,400 m of elevation gain, starting in Bédoin, France. The overall cutoff is 9 hours 30 minutes.
Crew access is allowed at Près de Michel (13.4 km) and Chalet Reynard (25.5 km).
Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at trailduventoux.fr before your race.
How the prediction works
Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Ventoux L'Origine 48K by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.
Build a training plan targeted at your Ventoux L'Origine 48K goal time
TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.
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