Race Time Predictor

How fast will you run Transgrancanaria Classic?

Transgrancanaria Classic race stats pre-loaded (126 km, 6,764 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.

126km6,764m D+Winner: ~12h58Cutoff: 30h01

Full Transgrancanaria Classic course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile

126 kmdistance6,764 mD+6,734 mD-227km-effort

GentleSteadySteepVery steep

Your race (done)
About you
Your finish

1Your race

Transgrancanaria ClassicOfficial course loaded · 126 km · 6,764 m D+Different race?

Have the GPX? Measure the exact course in the GPX Explorer

The course
126 km, but it costs 227 km-effort. The 6,764 m of climbing sets the pace.

2How should we estimate you?

Start with

Pick whichever you have. After your first estimate we ask for the other - two inputs give a firmer read.

Distance (km)

Elevation gain (m)

Elevation loss (m)

Same as gain. Edit if different.

Finish time

Hours, or h:mm

From my Strava historyYour last 90 days of real training. Opens the TrailMath app.Read-only access to your activities. Nothing is posted to Strava, and no training plan is created until you ask for one.

TrailMath
Got a UTMB index? Hand it over, it's the straightest read I get. No index? A long, hilly past race works too.

3 · Your predicted finish

194 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)227 km-effort

Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.

Transgrancanaria Classic finish times by UTMB Index

Predicted finish on the Transgrancanaria Classic course (126.0 km, 6,764 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 30h01 cutoff.

Transgrancanaria Classic: predicted finish time by UTMB Index
UTMB Index	Predicted finish	Average pace	Margin to cutoff
850	14h23	6:51 /km11:01 /mi	+15h38
800	15h43	7:29 /km12:03 /mi	+14h18
750	17h11	8:11 /km13:10 /mi	+12h50
700competitive	18h47	8:57 /km14:24 /mi	+11h14
650	20h32	9:47 /km15:44 /mi	+9h29
600	22h27	10:41 /km17:12 /mi	+7h35
550	24h32	11:41 /km18:48 /mi	+5h29
500mid-pack	26h49	12:46 /km20:33 /mi	+3h12
450	29h19	13:58 /km22:28 /mi	+0h42
400back of the pack	32h03	15:16 /km24:33 /mi	2h01 past the cutoff
350	35h02	16:41 /km26:51 /mi	5h00 past the cutoff
300	38h17	18:14 /km29:20 /mi	8h16 past the cutoff

The 30h01 cutoff sits at about Index 437. The typical winning time, 12h58, sits at about Index 908. At the 2025 edition, the median of the 568 finishers took 23h39, about Index 571. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.

From a result you already have

What the predictor gives on Transgrancanaria Classic for a few common reference results.

Transgrancanaria Classic: predicted finish from reference results
Road marathon	3h00 → 23h35	3h30 → 27h31	4h00 → 31h27	4h30 → 35h23
50 km trail, 2,000 m D+	5h30 → 19h47	6h30 → 23h23	7h30 → 26h58	8h30 → 30h32

Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.

To prepare each checkpoint, use the Transgrancanaria Classic aid station planner.

Transgrancanaria Classic course in numbers

Climbing per kmClimbing per mile: 54 m283 ft
ITRA km-effort: 194 (100M)
Highest point: 1,730 m5,676 ft
Biggest climb: +987 m over 6.7 km at 13.3% (through El Hornillo)+3,238 ft over 4.2 mi at 13.3% (through El Hornillo)
Steepest climb: +349 m over 1.7 km at 21.0%+1,145 ft over 1.1 mi at 21.0%
Longest descent: -456 m over 10.8 km at 4.1% (down to Maspalomas (Finish))-1,496 ft over 6.7 mi at 4.1% (down to Maspalomas (Finish))
Track climbing above 3%: 36%
Winning time / cutoff: 12h58 / 30h01 (2.3x the winner's time)

Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Transgrancanaria Classic course page.

Predict your Transgrancanaria Classic finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 126 km and roughly 6,764 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 30h01.

About Transgrancanaria Classic

Transgrancanaria Classic covers 126 km with around 6,764 m of elevation gain, starting in Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain. The overall cutoff is 30 hours 1 minutes.

Crew access is allowed at Arucas (19.3 km), Teror (31.6 km), Moya (Fontanales) (43.1 km), Artenara (66.8 km), Tejeda (79.2 km), El Garañón (90.8 km) and Tunte (98.4 km). Drop bags are available at Moya (Fontanales) and El Garañón.

Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at transgrancanaria.net before your race.

How the prediction works

Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Transgrancanaria Classic by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.

Build a training plan targeted at your Transgrancanaria Classic goal time

TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.

Build my plan