Race Time Predictor
How fast will you run Endurance Trail?
Endurance Trail race stats pre-loaded (100.5 km, 4,075 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.
100.5km4,075m D+Winner: ~9h16Cutoff: 23h31
Full Endurance Trail des Templiers course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile
- ✓Your race (done)
- 2About you
- 3Your finish
1Your race
- The course
100.5 km, but it costs 161 km-effort. The 4,075 m of climbing sets the pace.
2How should we estimate you?
Start with
Pick whichever you have. After your first estimate we ask for the other - two inputs give a firmer read.
Same as gain. Edit if different.
Hours, or h:mm
- TrailMath
Got a UTMB index? Hand it over, it's the straightest read I get. No index? A long, hilly past race works too.
3 · Your predicted finish
141 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)161 km-effort
Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.
Endurance Trail finish times by UTMB Index
Predicted finish on the Endurance Trail course (100.5 km, 4,075 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 23h31 cutoff.
| UTMB Index | Predicted finish | Average pace | Margin to cutoff |
|---|---|---|---|
| 850 | 9h28 | 5:39 /km9:06 /mi | +14h03 |
| 800 | 10h21 | 6:11 /km9:56 /mi | +13h10 |
| 750 | 11h19 | 6:45 /km10:52 /mi | +12h12 |
| 700competitive | 12h22 | 7:23 /km11:53 /mi | +11h09 |
| 650 | 13h31 | 8:04 /km12:59 /mi | +10h00 |
| 600 | 14h46 | 8:49 /km14:11 /mi | +8h45 |
| 550 | 16h09 | 9:38 /km15:31 /mi | +7h22 |
| 500mid-pack | 17h39 | 10:32 /km16:57 /mi | +5h52 |
| 450 | 19h17 | 11:31 /km18:32 /mi | +4h14 |
| 400back of the pack | 21h05 | 12:35 /km20:16 /mi | +2h26 |
| 350 | 23h03 | 13:46 /km22:09 /mi | +0h28 |
| 300 | 25h12 | 15:03 /km24:12 /mi | 1h41 past the cutoff |
The 23h31 cutoff sits at about Index 339. The typical winning time, 9h16, sits at about Index 862. At the 2026 edition, the median of the 1,240 finishers took 17h21, about Index 509. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.
From a result you already have
What the predictor gives on Endurance Trail for a few common reference results.
| Road marathon | 3h00 → 15h31 | 3h30 → 18h06 | 4h00 → 20h41 | 4h30 → 23h17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50 km trail, 2,000 m D+ | 5h30 → 13h01 | 6h30 → 15h23 | 7h30 → 17h45 | 8h30 → 20h06 |
Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.
To prepare each checkpoint, use the Endurance Trail aid station planner.
Endurance Trail course in numbers
- Climbing per kmClimbing per mile
- 41 m214 ft
- ITRA km-effort
- 141 (100K)
- Highest point
- 899 m2,949 ft
- Biggest climb
- +601 m over 12.4 km at 3.9% (from Start - Millau)+1,972 ft over 7.7 mi at 3.9% (from Start - Millau)
- Steepest climb
- +182 m over 1.2 km at 14.1%+597 ft over 0.7 mi at 14.1%
- Longest descent
- -550 m over 11.7 km at 3.9% (down to Le Rozier)-1,804 ft over 7.3 mi at 3.9% (down to Le Rozier)
- Track climbing above 3%
- 32%
- Winning time / cutoff
- 9h16 / 23h31 (2.5x the winner's time)
Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Endurance Trail course page.
Predict your Endurance Trail finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 100.5 km and roughly 4,075 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 23h31.
About Endurance Trail des Templiers
Endurance Trail des Templiers covers 100.5 km with around 4,075 m of elevation gain, starting in Millau, France. The overall cutoff is 23 hours 31 minutes.
Crew access is allowed at Le Rozier (29.87 km), Saint-Andre-de-Vezines (58.21 km), La Salvage (77.44 km) and Ferme du Cade (94.62 km).
Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at festivaldestempliers.com before your race.
How the prediction works
Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Endurance Trail by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.
Build a training plan targeted at your Endurance Trail goal time
TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.
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