Patagonia Bariloche by UTMB - Tronador 130K

Tronador 130K Finish Time Predictor

Tronador 130K race stats pre-loaded (131 km, 6,580 m D+). Enter a known race result to get an elevation-adjusted finish time estimate.

131km6,580m D+Winner: ~15h01Cutoff: 33h30

Full Patagonia Bariloche by UTMB - Tronador 130K course data: aid stations, cutoffs, course profile

1. Your race

Tronador 130K

131 km · 6580 m D+ · 6584 m D-

Different race?

Have the GPX? Measure the exact course in the GPX Explorer

2. How should we estimate you?

From my Strava historyYour last 90 days of real training. Opens the TrailMath app.Read-only access to your activities. Nothing is posted to Strava, and no training plan is created until you ask for one.

Distance (km)

Elevation gain (m)

Elevation loss (m)

Finish time (hh:mm:ss)

3. Your predicted finish

196.8 km-effort (ITRA, gain only)229.7 km-effort

Add a past race or your index to get a finish time.

Tronador 130K finish times by UTMB Index

Predicted finish on the Tronador 130K course (131.0 km, 6,580 m D+) for each UTMB Index, with the margin to the 33h30 cutoff.

Tronador 130K: predicted finish time by UTMB Index
UTMB Index	Predicted finish	Average pace	Margin to cutoff
850	14h33	6:40 /km	+18h57
800	15h55	7:17 /km	+17h35
750	17h24	7:58 /km	+16h06
700competitive	19h01	8:42 /km	+14h29
650	20h47	9:31 /km	+12h43
600	22h43	10:24 /km	+10h47
550	24h50	11:22 /km	+8h40
500mid-pack	27h08	12:26 /km	+6h22
450	29h40	13:35 /km	+3h50
400back of the pack	32h26	14:51 /km	+1h04
350	35h27	16:14 /km	1h57 past the cutoff
300	38h45	17:45 /km	5h15 past the cutoff

The 33h30 cutoff sits at about Index 382. The typical winning time, 15h01, sits at about Index 832. At the 2025 edition, the median of the 169 finishers took 26h58, about Index 504. A model estimate, not an official ITRA or UTMB figure.

From a result you already have

What the predictor gives on Tronador 130K for a few common reference results.

Tronador 130K: predicted finish from reference results
Road marathon	3h00 → 23h54	3h30 → 27h53	4h00 → 31h52	4h30 → 35h51
50 km trail, 2,000 m D+	5h30 → 20h01	6h30 → 23h40	7h30 → 27h17	8h30 → 30h54

Road marathons use the tool's rougher power-law fallback.

For arrival times at each checkpoint, use the Tronador 130K aid station planner.

Tronador 130K course in numbers

Climbing per km: 50 m
ITRA km-effort: 197 (100M)
Highest point: 1,959 m
Biggest climb: +1,193 m over 14.0 km at 6.8% (through Casa de Piedra)
Steepest climb: +303 m over 1.3 km at 24.1%
Longest descent: -485 m over 10.0 km at 3.6% (down to Jakob)
Track climbing above 3%: 34%
Winning time / cutoff: 15h01 / 33h30 (2.2x the winner's time)

Section-by-section climbs, descents and grades are on the Tronador 130K course page.

Predict your Tronador 130K finish time from a reference race result, adjusted for the course's 131 km and roughly 6,580 m of elevation gain. The overall cutoff is 33h30.

About Patagonia Bariloche by UTMB - Tronador 130K

Patagonia Bariloche by UTMB - Tronador 130K covers 131 km with around 6,580 m of elevation gain, starting in San Carlos de Bariloche, Argentina. The overall cutoff is 33 hours 30 minutes.

Crew access is allowed at El Chucaro (64.76 km), Colonia Suiza (85.17 km) and El Chucaro 2 (98.81 km). Drop bags are available at El Chucaro and El Chucaro 2.

Checkpoint data approximate - verify against the current official race guide at bariloche.utmb.world before your race.

How the prediction works

Your result becomes a UTMB Index, mapped onto Tronador 130K by the calibrated model behind the ITRA / UTMB Index Estimator. Full methodology.

Build a training plan targeted at your Tronador 130K goal time

TrailMath uses these models to build periodized plans adjusted to your goals and terrain.

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